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The Dave Daniels 2023 Bowl Pool
ZTout Basketball Site
2023 ZTOUT NCAA BOWL PREDICTIONS
Note: Actual Lines below taken from DraftKings CO 01/02/2024 - Final results
Results
Daily Lines
===== ZTout Bowl Daily predictions:
===== Completed Bowl Games Summary:
== 2023-12-16 Myrtle Beach
Georgia Southern
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 99 (-10.123)
Actual Line: -3.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +2.6336
Massey Rank: 99
Massey Points: 24.0000
Massey Line: +3.0000
Sagarin Rank: 105
Sagarin Points: 20.8400
Sagarin Line: +4.2800
Pred. Tr. Line: +5.0154
Bobblehead Expert Points: 16.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +11.0000
Z Combo Rank: 101
Z Combo Points: 20.2800
Z Combo Line: +5.2284
Ohio
Record: 8-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 91 (-7.489)
Actual Line: +3.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -2.6336
Massey Rank: 82
Massey Points: 27.0000
Massey Line: -3.0000
Sagarin Rank: 87
Sagarin Points: 25.1200
Sagarin Line: -4.2800
Pred. Tr. Line: -5.0154
Bobblehead Expert Points: 27.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -11.0000
Z Combo Rank: 86
Z Combo Points: 26.3733
Z Combo Line: -5.2284
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Ohio
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 5.6336
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Ohio
Massey Line Differential: 6.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 6.00017000
Massey Total: 51.0000
Actual O/U: 49.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Ohio
Sagarin Line Differential: 7.2800
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 7.28000000
Sagarin Total: 45.9600
Actual O/U: 49.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Ohio
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 8.0154
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 8.01540000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 2.68240000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 4.54000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Ohio
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 14.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 14.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 43.0000
Actual O/U: 49.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Under
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Ohio
Z Combo Line Differential: 8.2284
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 8.22840104
Z Combo Total: 46.6533
Actual O/U: 49.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Under
== Final Score Georgia Southern 21, Ohio 41
AASM+HCA Pick Ohio covered (win)
Massey Pick Ohio covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Ohio covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Ohio covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Ohio covered (win)
Z Combo Pick Ohio covered (win)
Game went over 49.0
Massey O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
== 2023-12-16 New Orleans
Jacksonville St.
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 77 (-3.687)
Actual Line: -2.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -4.3633
Massey Rank: 92
Massey Points: 24.0000
Massey Line: +4.0000
Sagarin Rank: 97
Sagarin Points: 27.6700
Sagarin Line: +0.4100
Pred. Tr. Line: -2.3651
Bobblehead Expert Points: 27.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -6.0000
Z Combo Rank: 88
Z Combo Points: 26.2233
Z Combo Line: -1.4883
Louisiana
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 93 (-8.050)
Actual Line: +2.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +4.3633
Massey Rank: 94
Massey Points: 28.0000
Massey Line: -4.0000
Sagarin Rank: 95
Sagarin Points: 28.0800
Sagarin Line: -0.4100
Pred. Tr. Line: +2.3651
Bobblehead Expert Points: 21.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +6.0000
Z Combo Rank: 94
Z Combo Points: 25.6933
Z Combo Line: +1.4883
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Jacksonville St.
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 1.8633
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Louisiana
Massey Line Differential: 6.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 6.50002000
Massey Total: 52.0000
Actual O/U: 58.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Louisiana
Sagarin Line Differential: 2.9100
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 2.91000000
Sagarin Total: 55.7500
Actual O/U: 58.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Louisiana
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 0.1349
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 0.13490000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.80160000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -2.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Jacksonville St.
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 3.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 3.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 48.0000
Actual O/U: 58.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Under
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Louisiana
Z Combo Line Differential: 1.0117
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 1.01167975
Z Combo Total: 51.9167
Actual O/U: 58.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Under
== Final Score Jacksonville St. 34, Louisiana 31
AASM+HCA Pick Jacksonville St. covered (win)
Massey Pick Louisiana did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick Louisiana did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Louisiana did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Jacksonville St. covered (win)
Z Combo Pick Louisiana did not cover (loss)
Game went over 58.0
Massey O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
== 2023-12-16 Cure
Appalachian St.
Record: 7-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 67 (-1.328)
Actual Line: -6.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -4.2382
Massey Rank: 73
Massey Points: 30.0000
Massey Line: -7.0000
Sagarin Rank: 62
Sagarin Points: 25.3800
Sagarin Line: -2.6100
Pred. Tr. Line: -0.8759
Bobblehead Expert Points: 18.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +6.0000
Z Combo Rank: 67
Z Combo Points: 24.4600
Z Combo Line: -1.9621
Miami OH
Record: 10-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 85 (-5.566)
Actual Line: +6.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +4.2382
Massey Rank: 61
Massey Points: 23.0000
Massey Line: +7.0000
Sagarin Rank: 75
Sagarin Points: 22.7700
Sagarin Line: +2.6100
Pred. Tr. Line: +0.8759
Bobblehead Expert Points: 24.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -6.0000
Z Combo Rank: 73
Z Combo Points: 23.2567
Z Combo Line: +1.9621
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Miami OH
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 2.2618
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Appalachian St.
Massey Line Differential: 0.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 0.50012000
Massey Total: 53.0000
Actual O/U: 41.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Miami OH
Sagarin Line Differential: 3.8900
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 3.89000000
Sagarin Total: 48.1500
Actual O/U: 41.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Miami OH
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 5.6241
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 5.62410000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.90170000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 1.14000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Miami OH
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 12.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 12.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 42.0000
Actual O/U: 41.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Miami OH
Z Combo Line Differential: 4.5379
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 4.53793839
Z Combo Total: 47.7167
Actual O/U: 41.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Appalachian St. 13, Miami OH 9
AASM+HCA Pick Miami OH covered (win)
Massey Pick Appalachian St. did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick Miami OH covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Miami OH covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Miami OH covered (win)
Z Combo Pick Miami OH covered (win)
Game went under 41.5
Massey O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
== 2023-12-16 New Mexico
New Mexico St.
Record: 9-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 84 (-5.264)
Actual Line: -3.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +2.6740
Massey Rank: 89
Massey Points: 20.0000
Massey Line: +10.0000
Sagarin Rank: 94
Sagarin Points: 23.7300
Sagarin Line: +2.3500
Pred. Tr. Line: +0.1213
Bobblehead Expert Points: 31.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -10.0000
Z Combo Rank: 89
Z Combo Points: 24.9100
Z Combo Line: +1.2560
Fresno St.
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 73 (-2.590)
Actual Line: +3.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -2.6740
Massey Rank: 64
Massey Points: 30.0000
Massey Line: -10.0000
Sagarin Rank: 82
Sagarin Points: 26.0800
Sagarin Line: -2.3500
Pred. Tr. Line: -0.1213
Bobblehead Expert Points: 21.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +10.0000
Z Combo Rank: 73
Z Combo Points: 25.6933
Z Combo Line: -1.2560
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Fresno St.
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 6.1740
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Fresno St.
Massey Line Differential: 13.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 13.50025000
Massey Total: 50.0000
Actual O/U: 51.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Fresno St.
Sagarin Line Differential: 5.8500
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 5.85000000
Sagarin Total: 49.8100
Actual O/U: 51.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Fresno St.
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 3.6213
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 3.62130000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 4.31220000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 0.10000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite New Mexico St.
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 6.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 6.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 52.0000
Actual O/U: 51.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Fresno St.
Z Combo Line Differential: 4.7560
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 4.75600272
Z Combo Total: 50.6033
Actual O/U: 51.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Under
== Final Score New Mexico St. 10, Fresno St. 37
AASM+HCA Pick Fresno St. covered (win)
Massey Pick Fresno St. covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Fresno St. covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Fresno St. covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick New Mexico St. did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Fresno St. covered (win)
Game went under 51.5
Massey O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
== 2023-12-16 LA
UCLA
Record: 6-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 34 ( 8.735)
Actual Line: -5.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -2.9229
Massey Rank: 38
Massey Points: 28.0000
Massey Line: -6.2500
Sagarin Rank: 36
Sagarin Points: 23.4200
Sagarin Line: -1.4600
Pred. Tr. Line: -0.1991
Bobblehead Expert Points: 23.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +7.0000
Z Combo Rank: 36
Z Combo Points: 24.8067
Z Combo Line: -0.9082
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.750
Boise St.
Record: 7-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 51 ( 5.062)
Actual Line: +5.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +2.9229
Massey Rank: 51
Massey Points: 21.7500
Massey Line: +6.2500
Sagarin Rank: 42
Sagarin Points: 21.9600
Sagarin Line: +1.4600
Pred. Tr. Line: +0.1991
Bobblehead Expert Points: 30.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -7.0000
Z Combo Rank: 48
Z Combo Points: 24.5700
Z Combo Line: +1.0957
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Boise St.
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 2.5771
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite UCLA
Massey Line Differential: 0.7500
Massey Confidence Rating: 0.75013000
Massey Total: 49.7500
Actual O/U: 47.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Boise St.
Sagarin Line Differential: 4.0400
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 4.04000000
Sagarin Total: 45.3800
Actual O/U: 47.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Boise St.
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 5.3009
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 5.30090000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.38250000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -1.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Boise St.
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 12.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 12.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 53.0000
Actual O/U: 47.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Boise St.
Z Combo Line Differential: 4.5918
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 4.59177260
Z Combo Total: 49.3767
Actual O/U: 47.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score UCLA 35, Boise St. 22
AASM+HCA Pick Boise St. did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick UCLA covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Boise St. did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Boise St. did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Boise St. did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Boise St. did not cover (loss)
Game went over 47.0
Massey O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
== 2023-12-16 Independence
Texas Tech
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 46 ( 6.526)
Actual Line: -3.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +0.6960
Massey Rank: 37
Massey Points: 30.0000
Massey Line: -3.0000
Sagarin Rank: 38
Sagarin Points: 32.7000
Sagarin Line: -2.8700
Pred. Tr. Line: -0.8424
Bobblehead Expert Points: 24.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 40
Z Combo Points: 28.9000
Z Combo Line: -2.2935
California
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 43 ( 7.222)
Actual Line: +3.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -0.6960
Massey Rank: 46
Massey Points: 27.0000
Massey Line: +3.0000
Sagarin Rank: 49
Sagarin Points: 29.8300
Sagarin Line: +2.8700
Pred. Tr. Line: +0.8424
Bobblehead Expert Points: 20.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 46
Z Combo Points: 25.6100
Z Combo Line: +2.2935
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog California
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 4.1960
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog California
Massey Line Differential: 0.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 0.50009000
Massey Total: 57.0000
Actual O/U: 58.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog California
Sagarin Line Differential: 0.6300
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 0.63000000
Sagarin Total: 62.5300
Actual O/U: 58.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog California
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 2.6576
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 2.65760000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 2.50680000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 0.81000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Texas Tech
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 0.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 0.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 44.0000
Actual O/U: 58.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Under
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog California
Z Combo Line Differential: 1.2065
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 1.20650690
Z Combo Total: 54.5100
Actual O/U: 58.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Under
== Final Score Texas Tech 34, California 14
AASM+HCA Pick California did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick California did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick California did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick California did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Texas Tech covered (win)
Z Combo Pick California did not cover (loss)
Game went under 58.0
Massey O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
== 2023-12-18 Famous Toastery
Old Dominion
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 94 (-8.581)
Actual Line: -5.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +1.4155
Massey Rank: 94
Massey Points: 21.0000
Massey Line: +7.0000
Sagarin Rank: 111
Sagarin Points: 25.1800
Sagarin Line: +3.5400
Pred. Tr. Line: +2.1129
Bobblehead Expert Points: 27.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +8.0000
Z Combo Rank: 99
Z Combo Points: 24.3933
Z Combo Line: +4.9889
Western Kentucky
Record: 6-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 89 (-7.165)
Actual Line: +5.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -1.4155
Massey Rank: 91
Massey Points: 28.0000
Massey Line: -7.0000
Sagarin Rank: 90
Sagarin Points: 28.7200
Sagarin Line: -3.5400
Pred. Tr. Line: -2.1129
Bobblehead Expert Points: 35.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -8.0000
Z Combo Rank: 90
Z Combo Points: 30.5733
Z Combo Line: -4.9889
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Western Kentucky
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 6.4155
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Western Kentucky
Massey Line Differential: 12.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 12.00003000
Massey Total: 49.0000
Actual O/U: 51.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Western Kentucky
Sagarin Line Differential: 8.5400
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 8.54000000
Sagarin Total: 53.9000
Actual O/U: 51.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Western Kentucky
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 7.1129
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 7.11290000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.61640000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -3.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Western Kentucky
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 13.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 13.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 62.0000
Actual O/U: 51.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Western Kentucky
Z Combo Line Differential: 9.9889
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 9.98887974
Z Combo Total: 54.9667
Actual O/U: 51.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Old Dominion 35, Western Kentucky 38
AASM+HCA Pick Western Kentucky covered (win)
Massey Pick Western Kentucky covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Western Kentucky covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Western Kentucky covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Western Kentucky covered (win)
Z Combo Pick Western Kentucky covered (win)
Game went over 51.0
Massey O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
== 2023-12-19 Frisco
UTSA
Record: 8-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 72 (-2.239)
Actual Line: -7.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -7.3690
Massey Rank: 68
Massey Points: 30.0000
Massey Line: -7.0000
Sagarin Rank: 56
Sagarin Points: 32.1300
Sagarin Line: -8.5600
Pred. Tr. Line: -8.4195
Bobblehead Expert Points: 31.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -11.0000
Z Combo Rank: 65
Z Combo Points: 31.0433
Z Combo Line: -8.4822
Marshall
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 96 (-9.607)
Actual Line: +7.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +7.3690
Massey Rank: 89
Massey Points: 23.0000
Massey Line: +7.0000
Sagarin Rank: 96
Sagarin Points: 23.5700
Sagarin Line: +8.5600
Pred. Tr. Line: +8.4195
Bobblehead Expert Points: 20.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +11.0000
Z Combo Rank: 93
Z Combo Points: 22.1900
Z Combo Line: +8.4822
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Marshall
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 0.1310
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Marshall
Massey Line Differential: 0.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 0.50021000
Massey Total: 53.0000
Actual O/U: 47.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite UTSA
Sagarin Line Differential: 1.0600
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 1.06000000
Sagarin Total: 55.7000
Actual O/U: 47.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite UTSA
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 0.9195
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 0.91950000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.49320000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -7.48500000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite UTSA
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 3.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 3.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 51.0000
Actual O/U: 47.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite UTSA
Z Combo Line Differential: 0.9822
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 0.98224058
Z Combo Total: 53.2333
Actual O/U: 47.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score UTSA 35, Marshall 17
AASM+HCA Pick Marshall did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick Marshall did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick UTSA covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick UTSA covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick UTSA covered (win)
Z Combo Pick UTSA covered (win)
Game went over 47.0
Massey O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
== 2023-12-21 Boca Raton
Syracuse
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 73 (-2.417)
Actual Line: -3.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -10.8933
Massey Rank: 64
Massey Points: 33.5000
Massey Line: -12.5000
Sagarin Rank: 73
Sagarin Points: 33.6900
Sagarin Line: -8.6500
Pred. Tr. Line: -7.7007
Bobblehead Expert Points: 31.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -7.0000
Z Combo Rank: 70
Z Combo Points: 32.7300
Z Combo Line: -9.7608
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -1.500
South Florida
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 111 (-14.810)
Actual Line: +3.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +10.8933
Massey Rank: 109
Massey Points: 21.0000
Massey Line: +12.5000
Sagarin Rank: 119
Sagarin Points: 25.0400
Sagarin Line: +8.6500
Pred. Tr. Line: +7.7007
Bobblehead Expert Points: 24.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +7.0000
Z Combo Rank: 113
Z Combo Points: 23.3467
Z Combo Line: +10.1358
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Syracuse
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 7.8933
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Syracuse
Massey Line Differential: 9.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 9.50045000
Massey Total: 54.5000
Actual O/U: 56.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite Syracuse
Sagarin Line Differential: 5.6500
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 5.65000000
Sagarin Total: 58.7300
Actual O/U: 56.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite Syracuse
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 4.7007
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 4.70070000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.02550000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -9.35800000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Syracuse
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 4.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 4.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 55.0000
Actual O/U: 56.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Under
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite Syracuse
Z Combo Line Differential: 6.7608
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 6.76082972
Z Combo Total: 56.0767
Actual O/U: 56.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Syracuse 0, South Florida 45
AASM+HCA Pick Syracuse did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick Syracuse did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick Syracuse did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Syracuse did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Syracuse did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Syracuse did not cover (loss)
Game went under 56.0
Massey O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
== 2023-12-22 Gasparilla
UCF
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 33 ( 9.109)
Actual Line: -5.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -6.2483
Massey Rank: 41
Massey Points: 31.0000
Massey Line: -7.0000
Sagarin Rank: 31
Sagarin Points: 36.8800
Sagarin Line: -8.6500
Pred. Tr. Line: -4.8216
Bobblehead Expert Points: 37.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -9.0000
Z Combo Rank: 35
Z Combo Points: 34.9600
Z Combo Line: -7.7246
Georgia Tech
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 53 ( 2.860)
Actual Line: +5.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +6.2483
Massey Rank: 62
Massey Points: 24.0000
Massey Line: +7.0000
Sagarin Rank: 63
Sagarin Points: 28.2300
Sagarin Line: +8.6500
Pred. Tr. Line: +4.8216
Bobblehead Expert Points: 28.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +9.0000
Z Combo Rank: 59
Z Combo Points: 26.7433
Z Combo Line: +7.7246
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite UCF
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 0.7483
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite UCF
Massey Line Differential: 1.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 1.50021000
Massey Total: 55.0000
Actual O/U: 68.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite UCF
Sagarin Line Differential: 3.1500
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 3.15000000
Sagarin Total: 65.1100
Actual O/U: 68.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Georgia Tech
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 0.6784
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 0.67840000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.49400000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -4.90000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite UCF
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 3.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 3.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 65.0000
Actual O/U: 68.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Under
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite UCF
Z Combo Line Differential: 2.2246
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 2.22457646
Z Combo Total: 61.7033
Actual O/U: 68.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Under
== Final Score UCF 17, Georgia Tech 30
AASM+HCA Pick UCF did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick UCF did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick UCF did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Georgia Tech covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick UCF did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick UCF did not cover (loss)
Game went under 68.0
Massey O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
== 2023-12-23 Birmingham
Troy
Record: 10-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 41 ( 7.862)
Actual Line: -7.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +2.5067
Massey Rank: 39
Massey Points: 22.0000
Massey Line: +1.7500
Sagarin Rank: 45
Sagarin Points: 22.6900
Sagarin Line: -2.0000
Pred. Tr. Line: -2.9030
Bobblehead Expert Points: 26.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -3.0000
Z Combo Rank: 41
Z Combo Points: 23.5633
Z Combo Line: -0.1858
Duke
Record: 6-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 28 (11.619)
Actual Line: +7.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -2.5067
Massey Rank: 45
Massey Points: 23.7500
Massey Line: -1.7500
Sagarin Rank: 43
Sagarin Points: 20.6900
Sagarin Line: +2.0000
Pred. Tr. Line: +2.9030
Bobblehead Expert Points: 23.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +3.0000
Z Combo Rank: 38
Z Combo Points: 22.4800
Z Combo Line: -0.1267
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -1.000
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Duke
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 9.5067
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Duke
Massey Line Differential: 8.7500
Massey Confidence Rating: 8.75006000
Massey Total: 45.7500
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Duke
Sagarin Line Differential: 5.0000
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 5.00000000
Sagarin Total: 43.3800
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Duke
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 4.0970
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 4.09700000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.97160000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 0.21000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Duke
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 4.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 4.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 49.0000
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Duke
Z Combo Line Differential: 6.8142
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 6.81418096
Z Combo Total: 46.0433
== Final Score Troy 10, Duke 17
AASM+HCA Pick Duke covered (win)
Massey Pick Duke covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Duke covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Duke covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Duke covered (win)
Z Combo Pick Duke covered (win)
== 2023-12-23 Camellia
Arkansas St.
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 108 (-11.926)
Actual Line: -1.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +0.9807
Massey Rank: 104
Massey Points: 28.0000
Massey Line: +3.0000
Sagarin Rank: 115
Sagarin Points: 22.8300
Sagarin Line: +2.9700
Pred. Tr. Line: +1.0311
Bobblehead Expert Points: 20.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +5.0000
Z Combo Rank: 109
Z Combo Points: 23.6100
Z Combo Line: +2.9877
Northern Illinois
Record: 6-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 105 (-10.945)
Actual Line: +1.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -0.9807
Massey Rank: 105
Massey Points: 31.0000
Massey Line: -3.0000
Sagarin Rank: 102
Sagarin Points: 25.8000
Sagarin Line: -2.9700
Pred. Tr. Line: -1.0311
Bobblehead Expert Points: 25.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -5.0000
Z Combo Rank: 104
Z Combo Points: 27.2667
Z Combo Line: -2.9877
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Northern Illinois
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 1.9807
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Northern Illinois
Massey Line Differential: 4.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 4.00001000
Massey Total: 59.0000
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Northern Illinois
Sagarin Line Differential: 3.9700
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 3.97000000
Sagarin Total: 48.6300
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Northern Illinois
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 2.0311
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 2.03110000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.51430000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 1.09580000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Northern Illinois
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 6.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 6.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 45.0000
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Northern Illinois
Z Combo Line Differential: 3.9877
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 3.98766291
Z Combo Total: 50.8767
== Final Score Arkansas St. 19, Northern Illinois 21
AASM+HCA Pick Northern Illinois covered (win)
Massey Pick Northern Illinois covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Northern Illinois covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Northern Illinois covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Northern Illinois covered (win)
Z Combo Pick Northern Illinois covered (win)
== 2023-12-23 Armed Forces
James Madison
Record: 10-1
AASM+HCA Rank: 39 ( 8.201)
Actual Line: +2.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +8.1402
Massey Rank: 34
Massey Points: 24.0000
Massey Line: +3.0000
Sagarin Rank: 44
Sagarin Points: 25.8200
Sagarin Line: -5.9600
Pred. Tr. Line: +8.4242
Bobblehead Expert Points: 30.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -16.0000
Z Combo Rank: 39
Z Combo Points: 26.6067
Z Combo Line: -4.2050
Air Force
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 63 ( 0.061)
Actual Line: -2.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -8.1402
Massey Rank: 72
Massey Points: 21.0000
Massey Line: -3.0000
Sagarin Rank: 65
Sagarin Points: 19.8600
Sagarin Line: +5.9600
Pred. Tr. Line: -8.4242
Bobblehead Expert Points: 14.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +16.0000
Z Combo Rank: 66
Z Combo Points: 18.2867
Z Combo Line: +4.2050
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Air Force
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 5.6402
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Air Force
Massey Line Differential: 0.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 0.50038000
Massey Total: 45.0000
Actual O/U: 44.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite Air Force
Sagarin Line Differential: 3.4600
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 3.46000000
Sagarin Total: 45.6800
Actual O/U: 44.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite Air Force
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 5.9242
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 5.92420000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 2.96670000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -7.84000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Air Force
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 13.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 13.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 44.0000
Actual O/U: 44.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Pick
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite Air Force
Z Combo Line Differential: 1.7050
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 1.70495103
Z Combo Total: 44.8933
Actual O/U: 44.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score James Madison 21, Air Force 31
AASM+HCA Pick Air Force covered (win)
Massey Pick Air Force covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Air Force covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Air Force covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Air Force covered (win)
Z Combo Pick Air Force covered (win)
Game went over 44.0
Massey O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of PICKEM (no bet)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
== 2023-12-23 Potato
Utah St.
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 95 (-9.246)
Actual Line: -1.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -2.8657
Massey Rank: 92
Massey Points: 33.2500
Massey Line: -4.7500
Sagarin Rank: 100
Sagarin Points: 34.6500
Sagarin Line: -3.1400
Pred. Tr. Line: -2.5567
Bobblehead Expert Points: 37.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -13.0000
Z Combo Rank: 95
Z Combo Points: 34.9667
Z Combo Line: -5.9389
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
Georgia St.
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 101 (-10.362)
Actual Line: +1.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +2.8657
Massey Rank: 97
Massey Points: 28.5000
Massey Line: +4.7500
Sagarin Rank: 108
Sagarin Points: 31.5100
Sagarin Line: +3.1400
Pred. Tr. Line: +2.5567
Bobblehead Expert Points: 24.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +13.0000
Z Combo Rank: 102
Z Combo Points: 28.0033
Z Combo Line: +5.5014
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -1.500
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.500
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Utah St.
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 1.3657
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Utah St.
Massey Line Differential: 3.2500
Massey Confidence Rating: 3.25005000
Massey Total: 61.7500
Actual O/U: 58.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite Utah St.
Sagarin Line Differential: 1.6400
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 1.64000000
Sagarin Total: 66.1600
Actual O/U: 58.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite Utah St.
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 1.0567
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 1.05670000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 1.81680000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 1.10000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Utah St.
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 11.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 11.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 61.0000
Actual O/U: 58.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite Utah St.
Z Combo Line Differential: 4.4389
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 4.43893707
Z Combo Total: 62.9700
Actual O/U: 58.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Utah St. 22, Georgia St. 45
AASM+HCA Pick Utah St. did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick Utah St. did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick Utah St. did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Utah St. did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Utah St. did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Utah St. did not cover (loss)
Game went over 58.0
Massey O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
== 2023-12-23 Ventures
South Alabama
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 59 ( 1.035)
Actual Line: -17.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -21.7261
Massey Rank: 88
Massey Points: 30.2500
Massey Line: -16.2500
Sagarin Rank: 76
Sagarin Points: 27.6800
Sagarin Line: -12.2900
Pred. Tr. Line: -14.7748
Bobblehead Expert Points: 27.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -8.0000
Z Combo Rank: 74
Z Combo Points: 28.3100
Z Combo Line: -14.5665
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.750
Eastern Michigan
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 127 (-21.442)
Actual Line: +17.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +21.7261
Massey Rank: 117
Massey Points: 14.0000
Massey Line: +16.2500
Sagarin Rank: 130
Sagarin Points: 15.3900
Sagarin Line: +12.2900
Pred. Tr. Line: +14.7748
Bobblehead Expert Points: 19.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +8.0000
Z Combo Rank: 124
Z Combo Points: 16.1300
Z Combo Line: +14.7540
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite South Alabama
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 4.2261
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Eastern Michigan
Massey Line Differential: 1.2500
Massey Confidence Rating: 1.25029000
Massey Total: 44.2500
Actual O/U: 44.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Eastern Michigan
Sagarin Line Differential: 5.2100
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 5.21000000
Sagarin Total: 43.0700
Actual O/U: 44.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Eastern Michigan
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 2.7252
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 2.72520000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 4.89780000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -15.70000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Eastern Michigan
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 9.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 9.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 46.0000
Actual O/U: 44.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Eastern Michigan
Z Combo Line Differential: 2.9335
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 2.93348458
Z Combo Total: 44.4400
Actual O/U: 44.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score South Alabama 59, Eastern Michigan 10
AASM+HCA Pick South Alabama covered (win)
Massey Pick Eastern Michigan did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick Eastern Michigan did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Eastern Michigan did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Eastern Michigan did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Eastern Michigan did not cover (loss)
Game went over 44.0
Massey O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
== 2023-12-23 Las Vegas
Utah
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 22 (14.199)
Actual Line: -7.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -8.4484
Massey Rank: 16
Massey Points: 30.0000
Massey Line: -16.0000
Sagarin Rank: 24
Sagarin Points: 23.5500
Sagarin Line: -7.7600
Pred. Tr. Line: -8.0648
Bobblehead Expert Points: 27.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -11.0000
Z Combo Rank: 20
Z Combo Points: 26.8500
Z Combo Line: -10.8021
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -1.000
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -1.000
Northwestern
Record: 6-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 53 ( 3.751)
Actual Line: +7.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +8.4484
Massey Rank: 52
Massey Points: 14.0000
Massey Line: +16.0000
Sagarin Rank: 60
Sagarin Points: 15.7900
Sagarin Line: +7.7600
Pred. Tr. Line: +8.0648
Bobblehead Expert Points: 16.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +11.0000
Z Combo Rank: 55
Z Combo Points: 15.2633
Z Combo Line: +11.3021
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Utah
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 1.4484
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Utah
Massey Line Differential: 9.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 9.00036000
Massey Total: 44.0000
Actual O/U: 43.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite Utah
Sagarin Line Differential: 0.7600
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 0.76000000
Sagarin Total: 39.3400
Actual O/U: 43.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite Utah
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 1.0648
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 1.06480000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.81210000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -10.47620000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Utah
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 4.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 4.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 43.0000
Actual O/U: 43.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Under
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite Utah
Z Combo Line Differential: 3.8021
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 3.80208768
Z Combo Total: 42.1133
Actual O/U: 43.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Under
== Final Score Utah 7, Northwestern 14
AASM+HCA Pick Utah did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick Utah did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick Utah did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Utah did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Utah did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Utah did not cover (loss)
Game went under 43.5
Massey O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
== 2023-12-23 Hawaii
San Jose St.
Record: 6-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 56 ( 1.366)
Actual Line: -8.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -8.3375
Massey Rank: 70
Massey Points: 27.0000
Massey Line: -3.2500
Sagarin Rank: 57
Sagarin Points: 28.6900
Sagarin Line: -5.1400
Pred. Tr. Line: -6.0935
Bobblehead Expert Points: 37.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 61
Z Combo Points: 30.8967
Z Combo Line: -5.1819
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -1.000
Coastal Carolina
Record: 6-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 91 (-7.722)
Actual Line: +8.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +8.3375
Massey Rank: 83
Massey Points: 23.7500
Massey Line: +3.2500
Sagarin Rank: 86
Sagarin Points: 23.5500
Sagarin Line: +5.1400
Pred. Tr. Line: +6.0935
Bobblehead Expert Points: 33.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 86
Z Combo Points: 26.7667
Z Combo Line: +5.3694
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Coastal Carolina
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 0.1625
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Coastal Carolina
Massey Line Differential: 5.2500
Massey Confidence Rating: 5.25013000
Massey Total: 50.7500
Actual O/U: 48.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Coastal Carolina
Sagarin Line Differential: 3.3600
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 3.36000000
Sagarin Total: 52.2400
Actual O/U: 48.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Coastal Carolina
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 2.4065
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 2.40650000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.60120000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 6.23000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Coastal Carolina
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 4.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 4.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 70.0000
Actual O/U: 48.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Coastal Carolina
Z Combo Line Differential: 3.3181
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 3.31812313
Z Combo Total: 57.6633
Actual O/U: 48.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score San Jose St. 14, Coastal Carolina 24
AASM+HCA Pick Coastal Carolina covered (win)
Massey Pick Coastal Carolina covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Coastal Carolina covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Coastal Carolina covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Coastal Carolina covered (win)
Z Combo Pick Coastal Carolina covered (win)
Game went under 48.0
Massey O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
== 2023-12-26 Quick Lane
Minnesota
Record: 5-7
AASM+HCA Rank: 71 (-1.699)
Actual Line: -3.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -5.2410
Massey Rank: 57
Massey Points: 30.0000
Massey Line: -16.0000
Sagarin Rank: 68
Sagarin Points: 24.8800
Sagarin Line: -4.8400
Pred. Tr. Line: -1.9942
Bobblehead Expert Points: 21.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +2.0000
Z Combo Rank: 65
Z Combo Points: 25.2933
Z Combo Line: -6.0202
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -1.000
Bowling Green
Record: 6-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 93 (-7.940)
Actual Line: +3.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +5.2410
Massey Rank: 99
Massey Points: 14.0000
Massey Line: +16.0000
Sagarin Rank: 92
Sagarin Points: 20.0400
Sagarin Line: +4.8400
Pred. Tr. Line: +1.9942
Bobblehead Expert Points: 23.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -2.0000
Z Combo Rank: 94
Z Combo Points: 19.0133
Z Combo Line: +6.2702
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Minnesota
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 2.2410
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Minnesota
Massey Line Differential: 13.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 13.00042000
Massey Total: 44.0000
Actual O/U: 43.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite Minnesota
Sagarin Line Differential: 1.8400
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 1.84000000
Sagarin Total: 44.9200
Actual O/U: 43.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Bowling Green
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 1.0058
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 1.00580000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 5.09350000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 2.30960000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Bowling Green
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 5.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 5.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 44.0000
Actual O/U: 43.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite Minnesota
Z Combo Line Differential: 3.0202
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 3.02023823
Z Combo Total: 44.3067
Actual O/U: 43.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Minnesota 30, Bowling Green 24
AASM+HCA Pick Minnesota covered (win)
Massey Pick Minnesota covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Minnesota covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Bowling Green did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Bowling Green did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Minnesota covered (win)
Game went over 43.0
Massey O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
== 2023-12-26 First Responder
Texas St.
Record: 6-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 99 (-9.993)
Actual Line: -3.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +4.5293
Massey Rank: 94
Massey Points: 29.0000
Massey Line: +1.5000
Sagarin Rank: 112
Sagarin Points: 32.7300
Sagarin Line: +3.2700
Pred. Tr. Line: +1.5140
Bobblehead Expert Points: 28.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +5.0000
Z Combo Rank: 101
Z Combo Points: 29.9100
Z Combo Line: +3.5748
Rice
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 82 (-4.964)
Actual Line: +3.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -4.5293
Massey Rank: 97
Massey Points: 30.5000
Massey Line: -1.5000
Sagarin Rank: 93
Sagarin Points: 36.0000
Sagarin Line: -3.2700
Pred. Tr. Line: -1.5140
Bobblehead Expert Points: 33.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -5.0000
Z Combo Rank: 90
Z Combo Points: 33.1667
Z Combo Line: -3.6998
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.500
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Rice
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 8.0293
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Rice
Massey Line Differential: 5.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 5.00003000
Massey Total: 59.5000
Actual O/U: 59.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Pick
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Rice
Sagarin Line Differential: 6.7700
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 6.77000000
Sagarin Total: 68.7300
Actual O/U: 59.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Rice
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 5.0140
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 5.01400000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.01940000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 2.67230000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Rice
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 8.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 8.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 61.0000
Actual O/U: 59.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Rice
Z Combo Line Differential: 7.0748
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 7.07482632
Z Combo Total: 63.0767
Actual O/U: 59.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Texas St. 45, Rice 21
AASM+HCA Pick Rice did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick Rice did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick Rice did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Rice did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Rice did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Rice did not cover (loss)
Game went over 59.5
Massey O/U Pick of PICKEM (no bet)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
== 2023-12-26 Guaranteed Rate
Kansas
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 22 (13.925)
Actual Line: -10.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -13.1076
Massey Rank: 28
Massey Points: 38.0000
Massey Line: -14.0000
Sagarin Rank: 22
Sagarin Points: 39.4800
Sagarin Line: -12.6200
Pred. Tr. Line: -11.2901
Bobblehead Expert Points: 38.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -11.0000
Z Combo Rank: 24
Z Combo Points: 38.4933
Z Combo Line: -12.6819
UNLV
Record: 8-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 60 ( 0.818)
Actual Line: +10.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +13.1076
Massey Rank: 77
Massey Points: 24.0000
Massey Line: +14.0000
Sagarin Rank: 74
Sagarin Points: 26.8600
Sagarin Line: +12.6200
Pred. Tr. Line: +11.2901
Bobblehead Expert Points: 27.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +11.0000
Z Combo Rank: 70
Z Combo Points: 25.9533
Z Combo Line: +12.6819
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Kansas
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 2.6076
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Kansas
Massey Line Differential: 3.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 3.50049000
Massey Total: 62.0000
Actual O/U: 67.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite Kansas
Sagarin Line Differential: 2.1200
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 2.12000000
Sagarin Total: 66.3400
Actual O/U: 67.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite Kansas
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 0.7901
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 0.79010000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 4.20660000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -11.16820000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Kansas
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 0.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 0.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 65.0000
Actual O/U: 67.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Under
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite Kansas
Z Combo Line Differential: 2.1819
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 2.18189328
Z Combo Total: 64.4467
Actual O/U: 67.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Under
== Final Score Kansas 49, UNLV 36
AASM+HCA Pick Kansas covered (win)
Massey Pick Kansas covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Kansas covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Kansas covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Kansas covered (win)
Z Combo Pick Kansas covered (win)
Game went over 67.0
Massey O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
== 2023-12-27 Military
Virginia Tech
Record: 6-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 50 ( 5.281)
Actual Line: -11.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -6.3069
Massey Rank: 60
Massey Points: 23.5000
Massey Line: -1.0000
Sagarin Rank: 52
Sagarin Points: 24.7900
Sagarin Line: -1.9300
Pred. Tr. Line: -2.9842
Bobblehead Expert Points: 23.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -6.0000
Z Combo Rank: 54
Z Combo Points: 23.7633
Z Combo Line: -3.8092
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.500
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
Tulane
Record: 10-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 60 ( 0.975)
Actual Line: +11.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +6.3069
Massey Rank: 40
Massey Points: 22.5000
Massey Line: +1.0000
Sagarin Rank: 51
Sagarin Points: 22.8600
Sagarin Line: +1.9300
Pred. Tr. Line: +2.9842
Bobblehead Expert Points: 17.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +6.0000
Z Combo Rank: 50
Z Combo Points: 20.7867
Z Combo Line: +3.3092
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -1.750
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -1.000
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Tulane
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 4.6931
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Tulane
Massey Line Differential: 10.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 10.00020000
Massey Total: 46.0000
Actual O/U: 43.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Tulane
Sagarin Line Differential: 9.0700
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 9.07000000
Sagarin Total: 47.6500
Actual O/U: 43.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Tulane
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 8.0158
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 8.01580000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 4.79420000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -1.75660000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Tulane
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 5.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 5.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 40.0000
Actual O/U: 43.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Under
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Tulane
Z Combo Line Differential: 7.1908
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 7.19077554
Z Combo Total: 44.5500
Actual O/U: 43.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Virginia Tech 41, Tulane 20
AASM+HCA Pick Tulane did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick Tulane did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick Tulane did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Tulane did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Tulane did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Tulane did not cover (loss)
Game went over 43.5
Massey O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
== 2023-12-27 Duke's Mayo
West Virginia
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 42 ( 7.280)
Actual Line: -6.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +0.4034
Massey Rank: 28
Massey Points: 33.0000
Massey Line: -3.7500
Sagarin Rank: 41
Sagarin Points: 34.2200
Sagarin Line: -0.2900
Pred. Tr. Line: -0.1527
Bobblehead Expert Points: 37.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -7.0000
Z Combo Rank: 37
Z Combo Points: 34.7400
Z Combo Line: -2.6592
North Carolina
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 31 ( 9.434)
Actual Line: +6.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -0.4034
Massey Rank: 38
Massey Points: 29.2500
Massey Line: +3.7500
Sagarin Rank: 32
Sagarin Points: 33.9300
Sagarin Line: +0.2900
Pred. Tr. Line: +0.1527
Bobblehead Expert Points: 30.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +7.0000
Z Combo Rank: 33
Z Combo Points: 31.0600
Z Combo Line: +2.2217
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -1.750
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog North Carolina
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 6.4034
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog North Carolina
Massey Line Differential: 2.2500
Massey Confidence Rating: 2.25010000
Massey Total: 62.2500
Actual O/U: 60.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog North Carolina
Sagarin Line Differential: 5.7100
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 5.71000000
Sagarin Total: 68.1500
Actual O/U: 60.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog North Carolina
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 5.8473
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 5.84730000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 2.67490000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -1.55000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite West Virginia
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 1.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 1.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 67.0000
Actual O/U: 60.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog North Carolina
Z Combo Line Differential: 3.3408
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 3.34084804
Z Combo Total: 65.8000
Actual O/U: 60.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score West Virginia 30, North Carolina 10
AASM+HCA Pick North Carolina did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick North Carolina did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick North Carolina did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick North Carolina did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick West Virginia covered (win)
Z Combo Pick North Carolina did not cover (loss)
Game went under 60.0
Massey O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
== 2023-12-27 Holiday
Louisville
Record: 9-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 20 (14.443)
Actual Line: -6.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -0.8997
Massey Rank: 19
Massey Points: 30.7500
Massey Line: +0.7500
Sagarin Rank: 26
Sagarin Points: 34.6200
Sagarin Line: +1.0800
Pred. Tr. Line: -2.9100
Bobblehead Expert Points: 38.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -8.0000
Z Combo Rank: 21
Z Combo Points: 34.4567
Z Combo Line: -1.7674
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -1.000
Southern California
Record: 7-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 19 (14.794)
Actual Line: +6.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +0.8997
Massey Rank: 31
Massey Points: 31.5000
Massey Line: -0.7500
Sagarin Rank: 21
Sagarin Points: 35.7000
Sagarin Line: -1.0800
Pred. Tr. Line: +2.9100
Bobblehead Expert Points: 30.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +8.0000
Z Combo Rank: 23
Z Combo Points: 32.4000
Z Combo Line: +1.4549
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -1.500
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.750
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Southern California
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 5.6003
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Southern California
Massey Line Differential: 7.2500
Massey Confidence Rating: 7.25012000
Massey Total: 62.2500
Actual O/U: 58.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Southern California
Sagarin Line Differential: 7.5800
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 7.58000000
Sagarin Total: 70.3200
Actual O/U: 58.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Southern California
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 3.5900
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 3.59000000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.67030000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -1.10000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Louisville
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 1.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 1.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 68.0000
Actual O/U: 58.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Southern California
Z Combo Line Differential: 4.7326
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 4.73258145
Z Combo Total: 66.8567
Actual O/U: 58.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Louisville 28, Southern California 42
AASM+HCA Pick Southern California covered (win)
Massey Pick Southern California covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Southern California covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Southern California covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Louisville did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Southern California covered (win)
Game went over 58.0
Massey O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
== 2023-12-27 Texas
Texas A&M
Record: 6-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 15 (17.589)
Actual Line: +3.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +7.6955
Massey Rank: 22
Massey Points: 28.5000
Massey Line: +3.5000
Sagarin Rank: 15
Sagarin Points: 33.2700
Sagarin Line: -4.6200
Pred. Tr. Line: +5.5524
Bobblehead Expert Points: 31.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +6.0000
Z Combo Rank: 17
Z Combo Points: 30.9233
Z Combo Line: +1.0189
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.500
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -1.000
Oklahoma St.
Record: 8-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 36 ( 8.394)
Actual Line: -3.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -7.6955
Massey Rank: 23
Massey Points: 25.0000
Massey Line: -3.5000
Sagarin Rank: 29
Sagarin Points: 28.6500
Sagarin Line: +4.6200
Pred. Tr. Line: -5.5524
Bobblehead Expert Points: 37.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -6.0000
Z Combo Rank: 29
Z Combo Points: 30.2167
Z Combo Line: -1.3939
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Oklahoma St.
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 4.1955
Massey Diff Pick: Tossup
Massey Line Differential: 0.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 0.00001000
Massey Total: 53.5000
Actual O/U: 54.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite Oklahoma St.
Sagarin Line Differential: 1.1200
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 1.12000000
Sagarin Total: 61.9200
Actual O/U: 54.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite Oklahoma St.
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 2.0524
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 2.05240000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 4.67160000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -7.66000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Texas A&M
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 9.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 9.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 68.0000
Actual O/U: 54.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Texas A&M
Z Combo Line Differential: 4.8939
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 4.89387702
Z Combo Total: 61.1400
Actual O/U: 54.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Texas A&M 23, Oklahoma St. 31
AASM+HCA Pick Oklahoma St. covered (win)
Massey Pick was PICKEM (no bet)
Sagarin Pick Oklahoma St. covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Oklahoma St. covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Texas A&M did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Texas A&M did not cover (loss)
Game O/U pushed 54.0
Massey O/U Pick of Under pushed
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over pushed
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over pushed
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over pushed
== 2023-12-28 Fenway
SMU
Record: 10-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 26 (11.823)
Actual Line: -9.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -16.8870
Massey Rank: 27
Massey Points: 35.0000
Massey Line: -15.0000
Sagarin Rank: 25
Sagarin Points: 37.0700
Sagarin Line: -15.4400
Pred. Tr. Line: -16.2535
Bobblehead Expert Points: 26.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -13.0000
Z Combo Rank: 26
Z Combo Points: 32.6900
Z Combo Line: -15.0818
Boston College
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 82 (-5.064)
Actual Line: +9.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +16.8870
Massey Rank: 81
Massey Points: 20.0000
Massey Line: +15.0000
Sagarin Rank: 91
Sagarin Points: 21.6300
Sagarin Line: +15.4400
Pred. Tr. Line: +16.2535
Bobblehead Expert Points: 13.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +13.0000
Z Combo Rank: 84
Z Combo Points: 18.2100
Z Combo Line: +15.0818
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite SMU
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 7.3870
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite SMU
Massey Line Differential: 5.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 5.50054000
Massey Total: 55.0000
Actual O/U: 48.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite SMU
Sagarin Line Differential: 5.9400
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 5.94000000
Sagarin Total: 58.7000
Actual O/U: 48.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite SMU
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 6.7535
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 6.75350000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 4.16720000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -15.90000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite SMU
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 3.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 3.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 39.0000
Actual O/U: 48.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Under
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite SMU
Z Combo Line Differential: 5.5818
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 5.58175388
Z Combo Total: 50.9000
Actual O/U: 48.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score SMU 14, Boston College 23
AASM+HCA Pick SMU did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick SMU did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick SMU did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick SMU did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick SMU did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick SMU did not cover (loss)
Game went under 48.5
Massey O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
== 2023-12-28 Pinstripe
Miami FL
Record: 6-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 29 (11.291)
Actual Line: +2.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +4.2688
Massey Rank: 45
Massey Points: 25.5000
Massey Line: +5.0000
Sagarin Rank: 37
Sagarin Points: 24.0900
Sagarin Line: -3.7100
Pred. Tr. Line: +5.7839
Bobblehead Expert Points: 24.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 37
Z Combo Points: 24.5300
Z Combo Line: -2.3603
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -1.500
Rutgers
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 47 ( 6.022)
Actual Line: -2.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -4.2688
Massey Rank: 55
Massey Points: 20.5000
Massey Line: -5.0000
Sagarin Rank: 58
Sagarin Points: 20.3800
Sagarin Line: +3.7100
Pred. Tr. Line: -5.7839
Bobblehead Expert Points: 20.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 53
Z Combo Points: 20.2933
Z Combo Line: +2.1103
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.500
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Rutgers
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 1.7688
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Rutgers
Massey Line Differential: 2.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 2.50010000
Massey Total: 46.0000
Actual O/U: 41.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite Rutgers
Sagarin Line Differential: 1.2100
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 1.21000000
Sagarin Total: 44.4700
Actual O/U: 41.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite Rutgers
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 3.2839
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 3.28390000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 1.95810000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 6.82000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Rutgers
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 1.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 1.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 44.0000
Actual O/U: 41.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Miami FL
Z Combo Line Differential: 0.3897
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 0.38970901
Z Combo Total: 44.8233
Actual O/U: 41.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Miami FL 24, Rutgers 31
AASM+HCA Pick Rutgers covered (win)
Massey Pick Rutgers covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Rutgers covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Rutgers covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Rutgers covered (win)
Z Combo Pick Miami FL did not cover (loss)
Game went over 41.0
Massey O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
== 2023-12-28 Pop-Tarts
Kansas St.
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 8 (24.980)
Actual Line: -3.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -14.5737
Massey Rank: 15
Massey Points: 34.2500
Massey Line: -13.0000
Sagarin Rank: 13
Sagarin Points: 29.7500
Sagarin Line: -8.1400
Pred. Tr. Line: -6.8098
Bobblehead Expert Points: 27.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +2.0000
Z Combo Rank: 12
Z Combo Points: 30.3333
Z Combo Line: -8.4284
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.750
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -1.250
N.C. State
Record: 8-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 36 ( 8.406)
Actual Line: +3.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +14.5737
Massey Rank: 31
Massey Points: 21.2500
Massey Line: +13.0000
Sagarin Rank: 33
Sagarin Points: 21.6100
Sagarin Line: +8.1400
Pred. Tr. Line: +6.8098
Bobblehead Expert Points: 29.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -2.0000
Z Combo Rank: 33
Z Combo Points: 23.9533
Z Combo Line: +8.9284
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Kansas St.
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 11.5737
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Kansas St.
Massey Line Differential: 10.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 10.00016000
Massey Total: 55.5000
Actual O/U: 48.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite Kansas St.
Sagarin Line Differential: 5.1400
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 5.14000000
Sagarin Total: 51.3600
Actual O/U: 48.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite Kansas St.
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 3.8098
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 3.80980000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 5.44210000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 9.04360000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog N.C. State
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 5.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 5.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 56.0000
Actual O/U: 48.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite Kansas St.
Z Combo Line Differential: 5.4284
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 5.42843552
Z Combo Total: 54.2867
Actual O/U: 48.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Kansas St. 28, N.C. State 19
AASM+HCA Pick Kansas St. covered (win)
Massey Pick Kansas St. covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Kansas St. covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Kansas St. covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick N.C. State did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Kansas St. covered (win)
Game went under 48.5
Massey O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
== 2023-12-28 Alamo
Arizona
Record: 8-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 16 (17.155)
Actual Line: -2.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +8.3826
Massey Rank: 22
Massey Points: 23.7500
Massey Line: +12.5000
Sagarin Rank: 20
Sagarin Points: 25.3800
Sagarin Line: +6.6700
Pred. Tr. Line: +4.4403
Bobblehead Expert Points: 37.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -3.0000
Z Combo Rank: 19
Z Combo Points: 28.7100
Z Combo Line: +6.1382
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
Oklahoma
Record: 10-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 6 (27.038)
Actual Line: +2.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -8.3826
Massey Rank: 9
Massey Points: 36.2500
Massey Line: -12.5000
Sagarin Rank: 8
Sagarin Points: 32.0500
Sagarin Line: -6.6700
Pred. Tr. Line: -4.4403
Bobblehead Expert Points: 34.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +3.0000
Z Combo Rank: 7
Z Combo Points: 34.1000
Z Combo Line: -6.5132
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -1.750
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Oklahoma
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 10.3826
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Oklahoma
Massey Line Differential: 14.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 14.50013000
Massey Total: 60.0000
Actual O/U: 59.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Oklahoma
Sagarin Line Differential: 8.6700
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 8.67000000
Sagarin Total: 57.4300
Actual O/U: 59.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Oklahoma
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 6.4403
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 6.44030000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 4.36720000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 6.72000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Arizona
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 1.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 1.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 71.0000
Actual O/U: 59.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Oklahoma
Z Combo Line Differential: 8.1382
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 8.13815249
Z Combo Total: 62.8100
Actual O/U: 59.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Arizona 38, Oklahoma 24
AASM+HCA Pick Oklahoma did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick Oklahoma did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick Oklahoma did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Oklahoma did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Arizona covered (win)
Z Combo Pick Oklahoma did not cover (loss)
Game went over 59.0
Massey O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
== 2023-12-29 Gator
Clemson
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 24 (12.629)
Actual Line: -4.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -3.4246
Massey Rank: 25
Massey Points: 27.7500
Massey Line: -5.7500
Sagarin Rank: 18
Sagarin Points: 26.4100
Sagarin Line: -4.6100
Pred. Tr. Line: -4.6400
Bobblehead Expert Points: 27.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -8.0000
Z Combo Rank: 22
Z Combo Points: 27.0533
Z Combo Line: -5.4461
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -1.000
Kentucky
Record: 6-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 40 ( 7.954)
Actual Line: +4.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +3.4246
Massey Rank: 32
Massey Points: 22.0000
Massey Line: +5.7500
Sagarin Rank: 39
Sagarin Points: 21.8000
Sagarin Line: +4.6100
Pred. Tr. Line: +4.6400
Bobblehead Expert Points: 19.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +8.0000
Z Combo Rank: 37
Z Combo Points: 20.9333
Z Combo Line: +5.7586
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Kentucky
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 1.0754
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Clemson
Massey Line Differential: 1.2500
Massey Confidence Rating: 1.25007000
Massey Total: 49.7500
Actual O/U: 45.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite Clemson
Sagarin Line Differential: 0.1100
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 0.11000000
Sagarin Total: 48.2100
Actual O/U: 45.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite Clemson
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 0.1400
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 0.14000000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 2.31620000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -5.85000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Clemson
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 3.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 3.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 46.0000
Actual O/U: 45.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite Clemson
Z Combo Line Differential: 0.9461
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 0.94614460
Z Combo Total: 47.9867
Actual O/U: 45.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Clemson 38, Kentucky 35
AASM+HCA Pick Kentucky covered (win)
Massey Pick Clemson did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick Clemson did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Clemson did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Clemson did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Clemson did not cover (loss)
Game went over 45.0
Massey O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
== 2023-12-29 Sun
Notre Dame
Record: 8-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 8 (24.211)
Actual Line: -6.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -6.5638
Massey Rank: 14
Massey Points: 28.2500
Massey Line: -6.2500
Sagarin Rank: 11
Sagarin Points: 27.2700
Sagarin Line: -5.1600
Pred. Tr. Line: -5.7741
Bobblehead Expert Points: 33.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -9.0000
Z Combo Rank: 11
Z Combo Points: 29.5067
Z Combo Line: -6.7434
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -2.000
Oregon St.
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 16 (17.898)
Actual Line: +6.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +6.5638
Massey Rank: 20
Massey Points: 22.0000
Massey Line: +6.2500
Sagarin Rank: 16
Sagarin Points: 22.1100
Sagarin Line: +5.1600
Pred. Tr. Line: +5.7741
Bobblehead Expert Points: 24.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +9.0000
Z Combo Rank: 17
Z Combo Points: 22.7033
Z Combo Line: +6.6809
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -2.000
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Notre Dame
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 0.5638
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Notre Dame
Massey Line Differential: 0.2500
Massey Confidence Rating: 0.25006000
Massey Total: 50.2500
Actual O/U: 41.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Oregon St.
Sagarin Line Differential: 0.8400
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 0.84000000
Sagarin Total: 49.3800
Actual O/U: 41.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Oregon St.
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 0.2259
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 0.22590000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 2.28330000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -5.50400000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Notre Dame
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 3.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 3.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 57.0000
Actual O/U: 41.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite Notre Dame
Z Combo Line Differential: 0.7434
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 0.74344626
Z Combo Total: 52.2100
Actual O/U: 41.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Notre Dame 40, Oregon St. 8
AASM+HCA Pick Notre Dame covered (win)
Massey Pick Notre Dame covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Oregon St. did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Oregon St. did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Notre Dame covered (win)
Z Combo Pick Notre Dame covered (win)
Game went over 41.5
Massey O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
== 2023-12-29 Liberty
Iowa St.
Record: 6-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 25 (12.347)
Actual Line: -10.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -11.6349
Massey Rank: 22
Massey Points: 33.7500
Massey Line: -9.7500
Sagarin Rank: 23
Sagarin Points: 34.0200
Sagarin Line: -8.5000
Pred. Tr. Line: -7.4521
Bobblehead Expert Points: 34.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -7.0000
Z Combo Rank: 23
Z Combo Points: 33.9233
Z Combo Line: -9.2212
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
Memphis
Record: 8-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 60 ( 0.462)
Actual Line: +10.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +11.6349
Massey Rank: 58
Massey Points: 24.0000
Massey Line: +9.7500
Sagarin Rank: 61
Sagarin Points: 25.5200
Sagarin Line: +8.5000
Pred. Tr. Line: +7.4521
Bobblehead Expert Points: 27.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +7.0000
Z Combo Rank: 59
Z Combo Points: 25.5067
Z Combo Line: +9.2837
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Iowa St.
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 1.6349
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Memphis
Massey Line Differential: 0.2500
Massey Confidence Rating: 0.25036000
Massey Total: 57.7500
Actual O/U: 57.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Memphis
Sagarin Line Differential: 1.5000
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 1.50000000
Sagarin Total: 59.5400
Actual O/U: 57.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Memphis
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 2.5479
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 2.54790000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 4.79970000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 8.40000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Memphis
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 3.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 3.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 61.0000
Actual O/U: 57.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Memphis
Z Combo Line Differential: 0.7788
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 0.77877892
Z Combo Total: 59.4300
Actual O/U: 57.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Iowa St. 26, Memphis 36
AASM+HCA Pick Iowa St. did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick Memphis covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Memphis covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Memphis covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Memphis covered (win)
Z Combo Pick Memphis covered (win)
Game went over 57.0
Massey O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
== 2023-12-29 Cotton
Missouri
Record: 9-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 15 (19.045)
Actual Line: +4.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -8.7794
Massey Rank: 15
Massey Points: 17.0000
Massey Line: -16.0000
Sagarin Rank: 19
Sagarin Points: 14.7900
Sagarin Line: +10.8500
Pred. Tr. Line: -8.0156
Bobblehead Expert Points: 27.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +6.0000
Z Combo Rank: 16
Z Combo Points: 19.5967
Z Combo Line: +6.5177
Ohio St.
Record: 10-1
AASM+HCA Rank: 4 (29.824)
Actual Line: -4.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +8.7794
Massey Rank: 3
Massey Points: 33.0000
Massey Line: +16.0000
Sagarin Rank: 2
Sagarin Points: 25.6400
Sagarin Line: -10.8500
Pred. Tr. Line: +8.0156
Bobblehead Expert Points: 33.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -6.0000
Z Combo Rank: 3
Z Combo Points: 30.5467
Z Combo Line: -6.0177
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -2.000
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Missouri
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 13.2794
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Missouri
Massey Line Differential: 20.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 20.50012000
Massey Total: 50.0000
Actual O/U: 49.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Missouri
Sagarin Line Differential: 15.3500
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 15.35000000
Sagarin Total: 40.4300
Actual O/U: 49.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Missouri
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 12.5156
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 12.51560000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.00850000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 9.65000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Missouri
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 10.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 10.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 60.0000
Actual O/U: 49.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Missouri
Z Combo Line Differential: 10.5177
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 10.51765680
Z Combo Total: 50.1433
Actual O/U: 49.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Missouri 14, Ohio St. 3
AASM+HCA Pick Missouri covered (win)
Massey Pick Missouri covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Missouri covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Missouri covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Missouri covered (win)
Z Combo Pick Missouri covered (win)
Game went under 49.0
Massey O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
== 2023-12-30 Peach
Penn St.
Record: 9-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 3 (29.489)
Actual Line: -4.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -15.1318
Massey Rank: 8
Massey Points: 31.5000
Massey Line: -9.7500
Sagarin Rank: 4
Sagarin Points: 27.9300
Sagarin Line: -10.0800
Pred. Tr. Line: -9.9374
Bobblehead Expert Points: 30.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -6.0000
Z Combo Rank: 5
Z Combo Points: 29.8100
Z Combo Line: -10.2404
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.750
Mississippi
Record: 9-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 20 (14.107)
Actual Line: +4.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +15.1318
Massey Rank: 14
Massey Points: 21.7500
Massey Line: +9.7500
Sagarin Rank: 16
Sagarin Points: 17.8500
Sagarin Line: +10.0800
Pred. Tr. Line: +9.9374
Bobblehead Expert Points: 24.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +6.0000
Z Combo Rank: 16
Z Combo Points: 21.2000
Z Combo Line: +10.3029
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.500
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Penn St.
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 10.6318
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Penn St.
Massey Line Differential: 5.2500
Massey Confidence Rating: 5.25006000
Massey Total: 53.2500
Actual O/U: 50.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite Penn St.
Sagarin Line Differential: 5.5800
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 5.58000000
Sagarin Total: 45.7800
Actual O/U: 50.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite Penn St.
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 5.4374
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 5.43740000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 4.21370000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 10.59000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Penn St.
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 1.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 1.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 54.0000
Actual O/U: 50.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite Penn St.
Z Combo Line Differential: 5.7404
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 5.74044355
Z Combo Total: 51.0100
Actual O/U: 50.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Penn St. 25, Mississippi 38
AASM+HCA Pick Penn St. did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick Penn St. did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick Penn St. did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Penn St. did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Penn St. did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Penn St. did not cover (loss)
Game went over 50.0
Massey O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
== 2023-12-30 Music City
Auburn
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 33 ( 9.286)
Actual Line: -6.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +0.7297
Massey Rank: 32
Massey Points: 26.5000
Massey Line: -3.7500
Sagarin Rank: 37
Sagarin Points: 21.9300
Sagarin Line: +0.0000
Pred. Tr. Line: -0.7386
Bobblehead Expert Points: 24.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +3.0000
Z Combo Rank: 34
Z Combo Points: 24.1433
Z Combo Line: -0.0051
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.500
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.500
Maryland
Record: 6-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 27 (10.766)
Actual Line: +6.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -0.7297
Massey Rank: 38
Massey Points: 22.7500
Massey Line: +3.7500
Sagarin Rank: 35
Sagarin Points: 21.9300
Sagarin Line: -0.0000
Pred. Tr. Line: +0.7386
Bobblehead Expert Points: 27.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -3.0000
Z Combo Rank: 33
Z Combo Points: 23.8933
Z Combo Line: -0.1824
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -1.750
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Maryland
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 7.2297
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Maryland
Massey Line Differential: 2.7500
Massey Confidence Rating: 2.75006000
Massey Total: 49.2500
Actual O/U: 47.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Tossup
Sagarin Line Differential: 6.5000
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 6.50000000
Sagarin Total: 43.8600
Actual O/U: 47.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Maryland
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 5.7614
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 5.76140000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 2.09590000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 0.24000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Maryland
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 9.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 9.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 51.0000
Actual O/U: 47.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Maryland
Z Combo Line Differential: 6.4949
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 6.49491602
Z Combo Total: 48.0367
Actual O/U: 47.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Auburn 13, Maryland 31
AASM+HCA Pick Maryland covered (win)
Massey Pick Maryland covered (win)
Sagarin Pick was PICKEM (no bet)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Maryland covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Maryland covered (win)
Z Combo Pick Maryland covered (win)
Game went under 47.5
Massey O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
== 2023-12-30 Orange
Georgia
Record: 11-1
AASM+HCA Rank: 7 (25.710)
Actual Line: -20.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -4.9290
Massey Rank: 3
Massey Points: 31.5000
Massey Line: -13.0000
Sagarin Rank: 7
Sagarin Points: 27.2000
Sagarin Line: -5.4000
Pred. Tr. Line: -7.2933
Bobblehead Expert Points: 28.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -11.0000
Z Combo Rank: 5
Z Combo Points: 28.9000
Z Combo Line: -8.5822
Florida St.
Record: 12-0
AASM+HCA Rank: 10 (23.781)
Actual Line: +20.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +4.9290
Massey Rank: 6
Massey Points: 18.5000
Massey Line: +13.0000
Sagarin Rank: 10
Sagarin Points: 21.8000
Sagarin Line: +5.4000
Pred. Tr. Line: +7.2933
Bobblehead Expert Points: 17.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +11.0000
Z Combo Rank: 8
Z Combo Points: 19.1000
Z Combo Line: +7.8322
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -2.500
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.500
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Florida St.
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 15.0710
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Florida St.
Massey Line Differential: 7.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 7.00003000
Massey Total: 50.0000
Actual O/U: 44.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Florida St.
Sagarin Line Differential: 14.6000
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 14.60000000
Sagarin Total: 49.0000
Actual O/U: 44.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Florida St.
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 12.7067
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 12.70670000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 4.05890000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -4.59000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Florida St.
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 9.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 9.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 45.0000
Actual O/U: 44.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Florida St.
Z Combo Line Differential: 11.4178
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 11.41775604
Z Combo Total: 48.0000
Actual O/U: 44.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Georgia 63, Florida St. 3
AASM+HCA Pick Florida St. did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick Florida St. did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick Florida St. did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Florida St. did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Florida St. did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Florida St. did not cover (loss)
Game went over 44.5
Massey O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
== 2023-12-30 Arizona
Wyoming
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 62 ( 0.154)
Actual Line: -3.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -6.2211
Massey Rank: 68
Massey Points: 23.0000
Massey Line: -0.7500
Sagarin Rank: 71
Sagarin Points: 25.8400
Sagarin Line: -1.5800
Pred. Tr. Line: +0.0301
Bobblehead Expert Points: 30.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -3.0000
Z Combo Rank: 67
Z Combo Points: 26.2800
Z Combo Line: -2.8878
Toledo
Record: 10-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 81 (-4.317)
Actual Line: +3.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +6.2211
Massey Rank: 67
Massey Points: 22.2500
Massey Line: +0.7500
Sagarin Rank: 69
Sagarin Points: 24.2600
Sagarin Line: +1.5800
Pred. Tr. Line: -0.0301
Bobblehead Expert Points: 27.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +3.0000
Z Combo Rank: 72
Z Combo Points: 24.5033
Z Combo Line: +2.4503
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -1.750
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Wyoming
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 2.7211
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Toledo
Massey Line Differential: 2.7500
Massey Confidence Rating: 2.75001000
Massey Total: 45.2500
Actual O/U: 44.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Toledo
Sagarin Line Differential: 1.9200
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 1.92000000
Sagarin Total: 50.1000
Actual O/U: 44.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Toledo
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 3.5301
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 3.53010000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 2.94440000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -1.10000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Toledo
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 0.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 0.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 57.0000
Actual O/U: 44.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Toledo
Z Combo Line Differential: 0.6122
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 0.61221260
Z Combo Total: 50.7833
Actual O/U: 44.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Wyoming 16, Toledo 15
AASM+HCA Pick Wyoming did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick Toledo covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Toledo covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Toledo covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Toledo covered (win)
Z Combo Pick Toledo covered (win)
Game went under 44.5
Massey O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
== 2024-01-01 ReliaQuest
LSU
Record: 8-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 11 (23.648)
Actual Line: -9.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -16.9888
Massey Rank: 12
Massey Points: 33.5000
Massey Line: -12.5000
Sagarin Rank: 11
Sagarin Points: 34.2000
Sagarin Line: -13.5200
Pred. Tr. Line: -14.8393
Bobblehead Expert Points: 35.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -11.0000
Z Combo Rank: 11
Z Combo Points: 34.2333
Z Combo Line: -13.5022
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -1.500
Wisconsin
Record: 7-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 47 ( 6.159)
Actual Line: +9.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +16.9888
Massey Rank: 41
Massey Points: 21.0000
Massey Line: +12.5000
Sagarin Rank: 48
Sagarin Points: 20.6800
Sagarin Line: +13.5200
Pred. Tr. Line: +14.8393
Bobblehead Expert Points: 24.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +11.0000
Z Combo Rank: 45
Z Combo Points: 21.8933
Z Combo Line: +13.6272
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -1.000
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite LSU
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 7.9888
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite LSU
Massey Line Differential: 3.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 3.50029000
Massey Total: 54.5000
Actual O/U: 57.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite LSU
Sagarin Line Differential: 4.5200
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 4.52000000
Sagarin Total: 54.8800
Actual O/U: 57.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite LSU
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 5.8393
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 5.83930000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.75880000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 14.98000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite LSU
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 2.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 2.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 59.0000
Actual O/U: 57.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite LSU
Z Combo Line Differential: 4.5022
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 4.50218833
Z Combo Total: 56.1267
Actual O/U: 57.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Under
== Final Score LSU 35, Wisconsin 31
AASM+HCA Pick LSU did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick LSU did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick LSU did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick LSU did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick LSU did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick LSU did not cover (loss)
Game went over 57.5
Massey O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
== 2024-01-01 Citrus
Tennessee
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 16 (17.177)
Actual Line: -5.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -8.2500
Massey Rank: 16
Massey Points: 19.0000
Massey Line: -5.7500
Sagarin Rank: 21
Sagarin Points: 16.4100
Sagarin Line: -3.4300
Pred. Tr. Line: -3.8595
Bobblehead Expert Points: 23.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -7.0000
Z Combo Rank: 17
Z Combo Points: 19.4700
Z Combo Line: -6.1075
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -2.000
Iowa
Record: 10-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 42 ( 7.677)
Actual Line: +5.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +8.2500
Massey Rank: 20
Massey Points: 13.2500
Massey Line: +5.7500
Sagarin Rank: 36
Sagarin Points: 12.9800
Sagarin Line: +3.4300
Pred. Tr. Line: +3.8595
Bobblehead Expert Points: 16.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +7.0000
Z Combo Rank: 32
Z Combo Points: 14.0767
Z Combo Line: +6.4200
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.750
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Tennessee
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 2.7500
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Tennessee
Massey Line Differential: 0.2500
Massey Confidence Rating: 0.25004000
Massey Total: 32.2500
Actual O/U: 36.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Iowa
Sagarin Line Differential: 2.0700
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 2.07000000
Sagarin Total: 29.3900
Actual O/U: 36.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Iowa
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 1.6405
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 1.64050000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.72640000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 6.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Tennessee
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 1.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 1.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 39.0000
Actual O/U: 36.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite Tennessee
Z Combo Line Differential: 0.6075
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 0.60750552
Z Combo Total: 33.5467
Actual O/U: 36.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Under
== Final Score Tennessee 35, Iowa 0
AASM+HCA Pick Tennessee covered (win)
Massey Pick Tennessee covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Iowa did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Iowa did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Tennessee covered (win)
Z Combo Pick Tennessee covered (win)
Game went under 36.0
Massey O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
== 2024-01-01 Cotton
Oregon
Record: 10-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 3 (30.197)
Actual Line: -18.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -22.5156
Massey Rank: 7
Massey Points: 39.7500
Massey Line: -22.2500
Sagarin Rank: 3
Sagarin Points: 38.7800
Sagarin Line: -17.6900
Pred. Tr. Line: -17.0844
Bobblehead Expert Points: 43.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -15.0000
Z Combo Rank: 4
Z Combo Points: 40.5100
Z Combo Line: -19.3639
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -1.250
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.500
Liberty
Record: 13-0
AASM+HCA Rank: 49 ( 5.931)
Actual Line: +18.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +22.5156
Massey Rank: 34
Massey Points: 17.5000
Massey Line: +22.2500
Sagarin Rank: 45
Sagarin Points: 21.0900
Sagarin Line: +17.6900
Pred. Tr. Line: +17.0844
Bobblehead Expert Points: 28.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +15.0000
Z Combo Rank: 42
Z Combo Points: 22.1967
Z Combo Line: +19.8014
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Oregon
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 4.5156
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Oregon
Massey Line Differential: 4.2500
Massey Confidence Rating: 4.25027000
Massey Total: 57.2500
Actual O/U: 68.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Liberty
Sagarin Line Differential: 0.3100
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 0.31000000
Sagarin Total: 59.8700
Actual O/U: 68.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Liberty
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 0.9156
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 0.91560000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 7.74680000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 20.53000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Liberty
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 3.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 3.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 71.0000
Actual O/U: 68.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite Oregon
Z Combo Line Differential: 1.3639
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 1.36389019
Z Combo Total: 62.7067
Actual O/U: 68.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Under
== Final Score Oregon 45, Liberty 6
AASM+HCA Pick Oregon covered (win)
Massey Pick Oregon covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Liberty did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Liberty did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Liberty did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Oregon covered (win)
Game went under 68.5
Massey O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
== 2024-01-01 Rose
Michigan
Record: 13-0
AASM+HCA Rank: 1 (31.415)
Actual Line: -1.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -6.8637
Massey Rank: 1
Massey Points: 27.0000
Massey Line: +1.0000
Sagarin Rank: 1
Sagarin Points: 20.6800
Sagarin Line: -4.1800
Pred. Tr. Line: -5.2897
Bobblehead Expert Points: 23.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +8.0000
Z Combo Rank: 1
Z Combo Points: 23.5600
Z Combo Line: -0.5109
Alabama
Record: 11-1
AASM+HCA Rank: 8 (24.551)
Actual Line: +1.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +6.8637
Massey Rank: 2
Massey Points: 28.0000
Massey Line: -1.0000
Sagarin Rank: 6
Sagarin Points: 16.5000
Sagarin Line: +4.1800
Pred. Tr. Line: +5.2897
Bobblehead Expert Points: 31.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -8.0000
Z Combo Rank: 5
Z Combo Points: 25.1667
Z Combo Line: +0.5109
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Michigan
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 5.3637
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Alabama
Massey Line Differential: 2.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 2.50001000
Massey Total: 55.0000
Actual O/U: 45.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite Michigan
Sagarin Line Differential: 2.6800
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 2.68000000
Sagarin Total: 37.1800
Actual O/U: 45.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite Michigan
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 3.7897
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 3.78970000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 2.94900000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 4.90000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Alabama
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 9.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 9.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 54.0000
Actual O/U: 45.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Alabama
Z Combo Line Differential: 0.9891
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 0.98908734
Z Combo Total: 48.7267
Actual O/U: 45.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Michigan 27, Alabama 20
AASM+HCA Pick Michigan covered (win)
Massey Pick Alabama did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick Michigan covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Michigan covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Alabama did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Alabama did not cover (loss)
Game went over 45.0
Massey O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
== 2024-01-01 Sugar
Texas
Record: 12-1
AASM+HCA Rank: 5 (27.435)
Actual Line: -4.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -4.6912
Massey Rank: 4
Massey Points: 30.0000
Massey Line: -6.0000
Sagarin Rank: 4
Sagarin Points: 29.9500
Sagarin Line: -3.9200
Pred. Tr. Line: -3.9992
Bobblehead Expert Points: 33.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 4
Z Combo Points: 30.9833
Z Combo Line: -2.6528
Washington
Record: 13-0
AASM+HCA Rank: 12 (22.743)
Actual Line: +4.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +4.6912
Massey Rank: 5
Massey Points: 24.0000
Massey Line: +6.0000
Sagarin Rank: 9
Sagarin Points: 26.0300
Sagarin Line: +3.9200
Pred. Tr. Line: +3.9992
Bobblehead Expert Points: 37.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 8
Z Combo Points: 29.0100
Z Combo Line: +2.6528
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Texas
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 0.6912
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Texas
Massey Line Differential: 2.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 2.00001000
Massey Total: 54.0000
Actual O/U: 63.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Washington
Sagarin Line Differential: 0.0800
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 0.08000000
Sagarin Total: 55.9800
Actual O/U: 63.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Washington
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 0.0008
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 0.00080000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.72130000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -4.70000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Washington
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 8.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 8.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 70.0000
Actual O/U: 63.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Washington
Z Combo Line Differential: 1.3472
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 1.34719075
Z Combo Total: 59.9933
Actual O/U: 63.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Under
== Final Score Texas 31, Washington 37
AASM+HCA Pick Texas did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick Texas did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick Washington covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Washington covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Washington covered (win)
Z Combo Pick Washington covered (win)
Game went over 63.5
Massey O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
== 2024-01-07 Championship
Michigan
Record: 14-0
AASM+HCA Rank: 2 (31.303)
Actual Line: -4.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -7.0626
Massey Rank: 1
Massey Points: 31.0000
Massey Line: -7.0000
Sagarin Rank: 1
Sagarin Points: 27.1800
Sagarin Line: -6.1800
Pred. Tr. Line: -7.4921
Bobblehead Expert Points: 33.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -7.0000
Z Combo Rank: 1
Z Combo Points: 30.3933
Z Combo Line: -6.8107
Washington
Record: 14-0
AASM+HCA Rank: 10 (24.240)
Actual Line: +4.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +7.0626
Massey Rank: 3
Massey Points: 24.0000
Massey Line: +7.0000
Sagarin Rank: 8
Sagarin Points: 21.0000
Sagarin Line: +6.1800
Pred. Tr. Line: +7.4921
Bobblehead Expert Points: 26.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +7.0000
Z Combo Rank: 7
Z Combo Points: 23.6667
Z Combo Line: +6.8107
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Michigan
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 2.5626
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Michigan
Massey Line Differential: 2.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 2.50002000
Massey Total: 55.0000
Actual O/U: 55.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite Michigan
Sagarin Line Differential: 1.6800
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 1.68000000
Sagarin Total: 48.1800
Actual O/U: 55.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite Michigan
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 2.9921
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 2.99210000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 4.31660000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 8.10000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Michigan
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 2.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 2.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 59.0000
Actual O/U: 55.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite Michigan
Z Combo Line Differential: 2.3107
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 2.31066029
Z Combo Total: 54.0600
Actual O/U: 55.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Under
== Final Score Michigan 34, Washington 13
AASM+HCA Pick Michigan covered (win)
Massey Pick Michigan covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Michigan covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Michigan covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Michigan covered (win)
Z Combo Pick Michigan covered (win)
Game went under 55.5
Massey O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
=== Bowl games played Summary:
Bowl Games On this day: 1
AASM+HCA Totals: Wins 1, Losses 0, Pushes 0 (100.0 %)
Massey Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 1, Losses 0, Pushes 0 (100.0 %)
Massey O/U Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 1, Losses 0, Pushes 0 (100.0 %)
Sagarin Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 1, Losses 0, Pushes 0 (100.0 %)
Sagarin O/U Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 1, Losses 0, Pushes 0 (100.0 %)
Pred. Tr. Line Totals: Wins 1, Losses 0, Pushes 0 (100.0 %)
Bobblehead Expert Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 1, Losses 0, Pushes 0 (100.0 %)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 0, Losses 1, Pushes 0 ( 0.0 %)
ZCombo Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 1, Losses 0, Pushes 0 (100.0 %)
ZCombo O/U Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 1, Losses 0, Pushes 0 (100.0 %)
=== Total Bowl games played Summary:
Total Bowl Games Played: 42
AASM+HCA Totals: Wins 24, Losses 18, Pushes 0 (57.1 %)
Massey Totals: Pickems 1, Wins 21, Losses 20, Pushes 0 (51.2 %)
Massey O/U Totals: Pickems 1, Wins 24, Losses 14, Pushes 1 (61.5 %)
Sagarin Totals: Pickems 1, Wins 21, Losses 20, Pushes 0 (51.2 %)
Sagarin O/U Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 21, Losses 18, Pushes 1 (52.5 %)
Pred. Tr. Line Totals: Wins 22, Losses 20, Pushes 0 (52.4 %)
Bobblehead Expert Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 22, Losses 20, Pushes 0 (52.4 %)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Totals: Pickems 1, Wins 23, Losses 15, Pushes 1 (59.0 %)
ZCombo Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 22, Losses 20, Pushes 0 (52.4 %)
ZCombo O/U Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 25, Losses 14, Pushes 1 (62.5 %)